Sunday, May 18, 2014

COUPLE OF NEXT INDONESIAN PRESIDENT CANDIDATES

On May 18 - 20, 2014 General election committee open the application for candidates of President and vice President 2014 - 2019 period. The election will take place on July 9, 2014.

Eleven parties eligible will form 2 coalitions since no single party who  got mayority votes more then 20%. Two coalitions will head to head between Joko Widodo - Jusuf Kalla versus Prabowo Subiyanto - Hatta Rajasa.

Joko Widodo and Jusuf Kalla

The 1st couple
are Joko Widodo, President, 52 and Jusuf Kalla, 72 vice President candidates from coalition of 4 parties, National parties PDIP chaired by Megawaty Soekarnoputri; National Democrat (Nasdem) chaired by Surya Paloh, big Metro TV owner; Hanura party chaired by retired general Wiranto and moderate moslem party, PKB chaired by Muhaimin Iskandar.
The four parties collected 39,97 %  of votes (18,95 + 14,75 + 9,04 + 6,72 + 5,26%).


Megawati Soekarnoputri, chairman PDIP

Joko Widodo formerly was Solo town mayor, Central Java and in the last 2 years as capital Jakarta city Governor. His vice President candidate, Jusuf Kalla was former vice President origin from South Celebes and as an former Golkar party chairman, the 2nd big party in the country after Democrat party PDIP.

Jusuf Kalla was vice President 2004 - 2009 under Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and also as former Golkar party chairman. He was wellknown as Conglomerate in Eastern of Indonesia beside his successfull in mediator of peace talk with rebels in Aceh, Northern Sumatra and Posso, Central Celebes.

Prabowo Subiyanto and Hatta Rajasa

The 2nd couple
are Prabowo Subianto, 62 for President and Hatta Rajasa,61 vice President, coalition of 6 parties, 2 National parties (Gerindra and Golkar), lead by Gerindra and 4 moslem based parties, PAN, PKS, PPP and PBB party.

Gerindra party chaired by retired General army Prabowo ; PAN party chaired by Hatta Rajasa, in law of President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono; PKS party chaired by young man Anis Mata and PPP chaired by Suryadharma Ali; Golkar chaired by conglomerate Abu Rizal Bakrie and PBB party chaired by a lawyer Izra Mahendra.
This coalition of four parties got total  48,42 % (11,81 + 7,57 + 6,79 + 6,53 + 14,75 + 1,46)

Prabowo Subiyanto, was a former Commander of special forces, have a bright star as a son in law of Soeharto, 2nd President of Indonesia (for 3 decades) and also brother of a Conglomerate Hasjim Djoyohadikusumo, and a brother in law of former Central Bank Governor. 

Hatta Rajasa was 10 years in the Ministry position. In the last 5 years as Economic coordinator Minister, one of 3 Coordinator Ministers, close relationship with the President.

The ruling party, Demokrat party with 10,19% votes preferred not to joint 2 coalitions above but independ. Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, chair of this party not to join the second coalition where his in law, Hatta Rajasa as the candidate for Vice President.

Analysis :
Competition will go head to head since between 2 coalitions :
1st coalition is  39,97 % and 2nd coalition is 48,43 %

The 1st coalition agreed to back to basic, the old sacred principles of late founding father of Indonesia Republic, Soekarno named "TRISAKTI" consist of tree principles :
1. Political sovereignity
2. Economic independency
3. Culturals personality 

They preffered the coalitian's name as "Cooperation" not Coalition, meaning that they gathered not based on distribution of power or seats in the Ministry. The meaning is that the President would select Professional and skillfull persons to be in Ministry position and in the higher institution in the country.

Both Jusuf Kalla and ex general army Wiranto were former Golkar party high officials who backed up President Soeharto who took over power of Soekarno in 1965, the father of Megawati Soekarnoputri, the chairman of PDIP party.  

The 2nd coalition lead by Prabowo Subianto, as ex army General attracted younger voters for his brave attitude including his intention to nationalize foreign Investments, who supported by PKS party too. Fortunately, a coalition member, PAN party disagree with the nationalization policy. 

Both coaltions are linked with the previous powers, from the 1st President, 2nd President and the last President. Joko Widodo under PDIP party chaired by Megawati Soekarnoputri, the daughter of the 1st President Soekarno.
Jusuf Kalla was former Golkar party chairman, the party set up by the 2nd President Soeharto.He was also former Coordination ministry under Megawaty Soekarnoputri, the 5th President.
Prabowo Subianto was a son of law of 2nd President Soeharto who oppressed the family of the 1st President Soekarno.
In 2009 Megawati and Prabowo was the candidate for President and vice President but fail competing with Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, the 6th President.

Aburizal Bakrie, Golkar chairman after negotiated back and forth with 2 sides and tend to join 1st coalition but couldn't reach the deal, in the last minute he switch his mind and finally joint the 2nd coalition, even Golkar is the 2nd winner in the election after PDIP party.

The 1st coaltion dominated by National parties and 1 moderate moslem party (3 : 1) facing head to head with the 2nd coalition dominated by based moslem parties (4 : 2). Based on many analysis of survey bodies before the election, indicated that electibility of the 1st coalition higher then the 2nd.

Citizen then will vote democratically on Juli 9, 2014 hopefully the new Government fulfill their promises in the campaign to better Indonesian for the next 5 years.
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